Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-24?

3 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold No (30%) · No at 62¢ · $39K held · ended Oct 25

Yes39¢No61¢Ended Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚡

Medium

Consensus Traders

No 30%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$38.8K

Combined PnL

$260.12

Smart Money Entry

58.2¢ → 61.5¢

+6% since entry · 3 traders

Smart Money Signal

3 of 10 top traders (30%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes39%

No62%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No3 traders

Total Value$32.8K

Total Shares54,676

Combined PnL+$715.64

Yes7 traders

Total Value$4.6K

Total Shares12,156

Combined PnL-$455.52

No — 30%Yes — 70%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

1 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Mature

15h old

Late Entry

Low

Score 20/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

17% of non-arb traders are on No. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleYes 100% · 1

Diverging

sharpYes 100% · 1

Diverging

ctrYes 83% · 6

Diverging

Hand-pickedYes 100% · 1

Diverging

Top 1000Yes 80% · 5

Diverging

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
DE DelidelaDele	Noavg 58.2¢	$31.7K	$32.6K	+$707.93	49% 28-29 (57)
GO GoalLineGhostCTR	Yesavg 42.3¢	$1.9K	$1.6K	-$326.8	52% 15978-14517 (30495)
VeryLucky888CTR	Yesavg 42.3¢	$1.9K	$1.3K	-$70.03	58% 31054-22396 (53450)
CA CannaeARB<$100	Yesavg 42.2¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	-$31.48	53% 13501-11963 (25464)
└ Yes leg	Yesavg 42.2¢	$877.7	$831	-$46.7
└ No leg	Noavg 56.6¢	$257.23	$272.46	+$15.23
SN SnakeBallCTR	Yesavg 40.8¢	$831.36	$805.36	-$26	50% 8565-8540 (17105)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR	Yesavg 42¢	$840	$800	-$20	51% 922-893 (1815)
LE LeLynxMalynxARB<$100	Yesavg 41.7¢	$230.15	$226	-$7.3	54% 13405-11284 (24689)
└ Yes leg	Yesavg 41.7¢	$179.36	$172	-$7.36
└ No leg	Noavg 56.4¢	$50.79	$54	+$0.06
UP UpTheBlues	Noavg 56.3¢	$132.02	$140.73	+$8.71	68% 30394-14619 (45013)
HRTradingCTR	Yesavg 40.9¢	$136.37	$125.07	-$11.3	60% 1146-775 (1921)
NA NatoAlfistaCTR<$100	Yesavg 41¢	$56.99	$55.6	-$1.39	65% 2610-1401 (4011)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100	Noavg 62¢	$31	$30	-$1	53% 11949-10754 (22703)
FO fooooolCTR<$100	Yesavg 40¢	$4.72	$4.72	+$0	51% 6338-6107 (12445)

DelidelaDele

Invested

$31,656.94

Value

$32.6K

PnL

+$707.93

Record

49%

28-29 (57)

GoalLineGhostCTR

Yes

Invested

$1,887.85

Value

$1.6K

PnL

-$326.8

Record

52%

15978-14517 (30495)

VeryLucky888CTR

Yes

Invested

$1,916.89

Value

$1.3K

PnL

-$70.03

Record

58%

31054-22396 (53450)

CannaeARB<$100

Yes

Invested

$1,134.93

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$31.48

Record

53%

13501-11963 (25464)

Both legs:

Yes$877.742.2¢-$46.7

No$257.2356.6¢+$15.23

SnakeBallCTR

Yes

Invested

$831.36

Value

$805.36

PnL

-$26

Record

50%

8565-8540 (17105)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR

Yes

Invested

$840

Value

$800

PnL

-$20

Record

51%

922-893 (1815)

LeLynxMalynxARB<$100

Yes

Invested

$230.15

Value

$226

PnL

-$7.3

Record

54%

13405-11284 (24689)

Both legs:

Yes$179.3641.7¢-$7.36

No$50.7956.4¢+$0.06

UpTheBlues

Invested

$132.02

Value

$140.73

PnL

+$8.71

Record

68%

30394-14619 (45013)

HRTradingCTR

Yes

Invested

$136.37

Value

$125.07

PnL

-$11.3

Record

60%

1146-775 (1921)

NatoAlfistaCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$56.99

Value

$55.6

PnL

-$1.39

Record

65%

2610-1401 (4011)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100

Invested

$31

Value

$30

PnL

-$1

Record

53%

11949-10754 (22703)

fooooolCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$4.72

Value

$4.72

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

6338-6107 (12445)

Smart Money Signal

3 of 10 top traders (30%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

1 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Mature

15h old

Late Entry

Low

Score 20/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

17% of non-arb traders are on No. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleYes 100% · 1

Diverging

sharpYes 100% · 1

Diverging

ctrYes 83% · 6

Diverging

Hand-pickedYes 100% · 1

Diverging

Top 1000Yes 80% · 5

Diverging

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that No wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance63.7%

61.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$57.06

Max Loss

-$100.00

157.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.