Real Salt Lake vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 6.5
2 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Under (40%) · Under at 100¢ · $9K held · ended Oct 25
⚡
Medium
Under
5
Under 40%
$9.0K
$1.3K
97.9¢ → 99.7¢
+2% since entry · 2 traders
Smart Money Signal
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBlues | Underavg 97.9¢ | $7.5K | $7.5K | +$17.76 | 68% 30394-14619 (45013) |
NO NordhavenCapCTR | Overavg 1.2¢ | $23.56 | $762.32 | +$738.76 | 58% 1633-1161 (2794) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR | Overavg 2.5¢ | $38.41 | $614.78 | +$576.37 | 53% 6109-5458 (11567) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Overavg 2¢ | $156.04 | $146.97 | -$9.07 | 52% 15978-14517 (30495) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 98.3¢ | $19.66 | $12.1 | -$7.56 | 60% 1146-775 (1921) |
Invested
$7,495.59
Value
$7.5K
PnL
+$17.76
Record
68%
30394-14619 (45013)
Invested
$23.56
Value
$762.32
PnL
+$738.76
Record
58%
1633-1161 (2794)
Invested
$38.41
Value
$614.78
PnL
+$576.37
Record
53%
6109-5458 (11567)
Invested
$156.04
Value
$146.97
PnL
-$9.07
Record
52%
15978-14517 (30495)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$19.66
Value
$12.1
PnL
-$7.56
Record
60%
1146-775 (1921)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
99.7¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.