
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-10-24?
7 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold No (70%) · No at 100¢ · $22K held · ended Oct 25
🔥
Strong
No
10
No 70%
$22.2K
$3.1K
80.5¢ → 100¢
+24% since entry · 7 traders
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Signal Intelligence
Momentum
Flat
+0 pts consensus
Breadth
5 traders
Top 2 hold 81%
Freshness
Fresh
2h old
Late Entry
Medium
Score 55/100
Flip Quality
Clean
0 consensus flips
63% of non-arb traders are on No. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 81% of that side's value.
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() us391 | Noavg 71¢ | $7.2K | $10.0K | +$2.7K | 51% 1340-1262 (2602) |
SN SnakeBall | Noavg 97.6¢ | $4.2K | $4.2K | -$14.96 | 50% 8565-8540 (17105) |
![]() LonnieHawkins | Noavg 93.3¢ | $4.6K | $3.3K | +$201.77 | 52% 1541-1447 (2988) |
CA Cannae | Noavg 71.7¢ | $1.9K | $2.6K | +$684.63 | 53% 13501-11963 (25464) |
UP UpTheBlues | Noavg 87.1¢ | $986.49 | $1.1K | +$118.35 | 68% 30394-14619 (45013) |
![]() HRTrading | Noavg 72.5¢ | $515.53 | $680.58 | +$159.59 | 60% 1146-775 (1921) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Noavg 82.6¢ | $174.22 | $178.26 | +$4.04 | 53% 11949-10754 (22703) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Yesavg 19.2¢ | $830.26 | $103.92 | -$702.52 | 52% 15978-14517 (30495) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33¢ | $61.33 | $56.48 | -$4.85 | 54% 13405-11284 (24689) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 26¢ | $9.98 | $0.96 | -$9.02 | 58% 31054-22396 (53450) |
us391Invested
$7,238.8
Value
$10.0K
PnL
+$2.7K
Record
51%
1340-1262 (2602)
Invested
$4,220.53
Value
$4.2K
PnL
-$14.96
Record
50%
8565-8540 (17105)
LonnieHawkinsInvested
$4,623.01
Value
$3.3K
PnL
+$201.77
Record
52%
1541-1447 (2988)
Invested
$1,890.92
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$684.63
Record
53%
13501-11963 (25464)
Invested
$986.49
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$118.35
Record
68%
30394-14619 (45013)
HRTradingInvested
$515.53
Value
$680.58
PnL
+$159.59
Record
60%
1146-775 (1921)
Invested
$174.22
Value
$178.26
PnL
+$4.04
Record
53%
11949-10754 (22703)
Invested
$830.26
Value
$103.92
PnL
-$702.52
Record
52%
15978-14517 (30495)
Invested
$61.33
Value
$56.48
PnL
-$4.85
Record
54%
13405-11284 (24689)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$9.98
Value
$0.96
PnL
-$9.02
Record
58%
31054-22396 (53450)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market

us391
No — $10.0K
SnakeBall
No — $4.2K

LonnieHawkins
No — $3.3K
Cannae
No — $2.6K
UpTheBlues
No — $1.1K

HRTrading
No — $680.58
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
No — $178.26
GoalLineGhost
CTRYes — $103.92
LeLynxMalynx
CTRYes — $56.48

VeryLucky888
CTRYes — $0.96