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Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-10-24?

7 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold No (70%) · No at 100¢ · $22K held · ended Oct 25

Yes<1¢No>99¢Ended Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket
SIGNAL

🔥

Strong

No

Consensus Traders

10

No 70%

Total Value

$22.2K

Combined PnL

$3.1K

Smart Money Entry

80.5¢ → 100¢

+24% since entry · 7 traders

Smart Money Signal

No

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No7 traders
Total Value$22.0K
Total Shares22,549
Combined PnL+$3.9K
Yes3 traders
Total Value$161.36
Total Shares4,637
Combined PnL-$716.39
No — 70%Yes — 30%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 81%

Freshness

Fresh

2h old

Late Entry

Medium

Score 55/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

63% of non-arb traders are on No. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 81% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians
whaleNo 67% · 3
Aligned
sharpNo 100% · 2
Aligned
ctrNo 57% · 7
Aligned
Hand-pickedNo 50% · 2
Aligned
Top 1000No 71% · 7
Aligned

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.10
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x52c58c81...a712e8
Slug
mls-rsl-stl-2026-10-24-stl
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