Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under

Portland Timbers vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 5.5
Resolved Under. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Under 67%
1 arb excluded
$3.4K
$638.32
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Underavg 75.1Β’ | $1.3K | $1.7K | +$414.69 | 52% 16093-14633 (30726) |
UP UpTheBlues | Underavg 83.9Β’ | $1.3K | $1.6K | +$250.97 | 68% 30682-14740 (45422) |
FO fooooolARB<$100 | Underavg 69.5Β’ | $123.28 | $141.5 | +$18.22 | 51% 6414-6214 (12628) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 69.5Β’ | $98.35 | $141.5 | +$43.15 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 9Β’ | $24.93 | β | -$24.93 | |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Overavg 16Β’ | $27.34 | β | -$27.34 | 58% 31291-22609 (53900) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Underavg 83Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 54% 13611-11436 (25047) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Underavg 76Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 8681-8611 (17292) |
![]() LonnieHawkinsCTR<$100 | Overavg 24Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 52% 1549-1456 (3005) |
PA pauleta23CTR<$100 | Overavg 25Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 71% 17250-6966 (24216) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 83.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 58% 1251-901 (2152) |
Invested
$1,251.54
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$414.69
Record
52%
16093-14633 (30726)
Invested
$1,305.99
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$250.97
Record
68%
30682-14740 (45422)
Invested
$123.28
Value
$141.5
PnL
+$18.22
Record
51%
6414-6214 (12628)
Both legs:
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$27.34
Value
β
PnL
-$27.34
Record
58%
31291-22609 (53900)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
13611-11436 (25047)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
8681-8611 (17292)
LonnieHawkinsCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
1549-1456 (3005)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
71%
17250-6966 (24216)
HRTrading<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
1251-901 (2152)
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