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HRTradingCTR<$100OverUnderOverUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Orlando City SC vs. New York City FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$7.1
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares57
Combined PnL-$12.03
Under2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$4.93
Over — 60%Under — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Overavg 21.3¢ | $56.5 | — | -$12.03 | 62% 985-601 (1586) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Underavg 82.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 68% 30341-14586 (44927) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Overavg 20¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 8543-8531 (17074) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Underavg 67.5¢ | $11.27 | — | +$4.93 | 75% 2292-754 (3046) |
RO Rocko33CTR<$100 | Overavg 88.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 839-459 (1298) |
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$56.5
Value
—
PnL
-$12.03
Record
62%
985-601 (1586)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
68%
30341-14586 (44927)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
8543-8531 (17074)
VA
Vampiro1<$100Invested
$11.27
Value
—
PnL
+$4.93
Record
75%
2292-754 (3046)
RO
Rocko33CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
839-459 (1298)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7d2daa11...4d8c80
Slug
mls-orl-nyc-2026-10-24-first-half-total-2pt5