Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.

D.C. United SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
9
Over 50%
$2.31
$39
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Overavg 71Β’ | $53.25 | β | -$53.25 | 54% 13352-11254 (24606) |
FO foooool<$100 | Underavg 55Β’ | $1.27 | $2.31 | +$1.04 | 51% 6306-6055 (12361) |
BE BetyourselfCTR | Overavg 41Β’ | $149.6 | β | +$91.21 | 66% 981-498 (1479) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Overavg 82Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 68% 30341-14586 (44927) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 71.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 52% 15933-14459 (30392) |
DA darkumbreon88CTR<$100 | Overavg 72Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 65% 1512-800 (2312) |
CA CannaeCTR<$100 | Overavg 71Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 53% 13484-11954 (25438) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 45Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 62% 985-601 (1586) |
![]() VeryLucky888<$100 | Underavg 29.8Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 58% 30927-22305 (53232) |
Invested
$53.25
Value
β
PnL
-$53.25
Record
54%
13352-11254 (24606)
Invested
$1.27
Value
$2.31
PnL
+$1.04
Record
51%
6306-6055 (12361)
Invested
$149.6
Value
β
PnL
+$91.21
Record
66%
981-498 (1479)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
68%
30341-14586 (44927)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15933-14459 (30392)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
1512-800 (2312)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
13484-11954 (25438)
HRTrading<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
985-601 (1586)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
30927-22305 (53232)
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