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YesYesYesNoYesYesNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will D.C. United SC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$17.95
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares222
Combined PnL-$35.55
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$17.6
Yes — 71%No — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NA NatoAlfistaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 24¢ | $25.92 | — | -$25.92 | 65% 2597-1387 (3984) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | $7.28 | — | -$7.28 | 68% 30341-14586 (44927) |
BI BillBenter2026CTR<$100 | Yesavg 23.5¢ | $2.35 | — | -$2.35 | 58% 16001-11670 (27671) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 70¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 15933-14459 (30392) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 8543-8531 (17074) |
FO fooooolCTR<$100 | Yesavg 23¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 6306-6055 (12361) |
BE Betyourself | Noavg 71¢ | $249.92 | — | +$17.6 | 66% 981-498 (1479) |
NA
NatoAlfistaCTR<$100Invested
$25.92
Value
—
PnL
-$25.92
Record
65%
2597-1387 (3984)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
$7.28
Value
—
PnL
-$7.28
Record
68%
30341-14586 (44927)
BI
BillBenter2026CTR<$100Invested
$2.35
Value
—
PnL
-$2.35
Record
58%
16001-11670 (27671)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15933-14459 (30392)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
8543-8531 (17074)
FO
fooooolCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
6306-6055 (12361)
BE
BetyourselfInvested
$249.92
Value
—
PnL
+$17.6
Record
66%
981-498 (1479)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xaadeb23b...e51ba2
Slug
mls-dcu-fcc-2026-10-24-draw