Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
FC Dallas vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Over 75%
1 arb excluded
$5.2K
$403.54
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZX zxc368 | Overavg 99.9¢ | $3.8K | $3.8K | +$3.8 | 99% 8700-121 (8821) |
NO NordhavenCap | Overavg 38.3¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$732.45 | 58% 1633-1161 (2794) |
FO fooooolARB<$100 | Underavg 70.6¢ | $221.88 | $117.06 | -$104.82 | 51% 6338-6107 (12445) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 70.6¢ | $185.59 | — | -$185.59 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 31¢ | $36.29 | $117.06 | +$80.77 | |
MA manoamano | Overavg 41¢ | $49.48 | $120.64 | +$70.68 | 70% 379-164 (543) |
 HRTradingCTR | Underavg 75¢ | $537.84 | — | -$403.38 | 60% 1146-775 (1921) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Overavg 13.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 68% 30394-14619 (45013) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 88.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 8565-8540 (17105) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Overavg 12¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 15978-14517 (30495) |
0X 0x8191c793fd7edbadf0fae651f55c1da3b638da72CTR<$100 | Underavg 88¢ | — | — | +$0 | 72% 1814-707 (2521) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Overavg 10¢ | — | — | +$0 | 63% 22274-13133 (35407) |
Invested
$3,793.55
Value
$3.8K
PnL
+$3.8
Record
99%
8700-121 (8821)
Invested
$1,186.77
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$732.45
Record
58%
1633-1161 (2794)
Invested
$221.88
Value
$117.06
PnL
-$104.82
Record
51%
6338-6107 (12445)
Both legs:
Invested
$49.48
Value
$120.64
PnL
+$70.68
Record
70%
379-164 (543)
HRTradingCTRInvested
$537.84
Value
—
PnL
-$403.38
Record
60%
1146-775 (1921)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
68%
30394-14619 (45013)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
8565-8540 (17105)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15978-14517 (30495)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
72%
1814-707 (2521)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
22274-13133 (35407)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
zxc368
Over — $3.8K
NordhavenCap
Over — $1.2K
foooool
ARBArbitrage — excluded
manoamano
Over — $120.64
HRTrading
CTRUnder — $0
UpTheBlues
Over — $0
SnakeBall
CTRUnder — $0
GoalLineGhost
Over — $0
0x8191c793fd7edbadf0fae651f55c1da3b638da72
CTRUnder — $0
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Over — $0