
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-10-24?
7 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold No (70%) · No at 80¢ · $2K held · ended Oct 25
🔥
Strong
No
10
No 70%
1 arb excluded
$2.4K
$158.05
65.3¢ → 80¢
+22% since entry · 7 traders
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBlues | Noavg 65.5¢ | $1.1K | $1.3K | +$209.3 | 68% 30394-14619 (45013) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Yesavg 25.4¢ | $701.73 | $649.82 | -$51.91 | 52% 15978-14517 (30495) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100 | Noavg 68.1¢ | $153.97 | $146.12 | -$7.85 | 53% 11949-10754 (22703) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 68.1¢ | $77.05 | $85.47 | +$8.42 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 31.1¢ | $76.92 | $60.65 | -$16.27 | |
![]() HRTrading | Noavg 75.1¢ | $122.48 | $123.8 | +$1.32 | 60% 1146-775 (1921) |
CA Cannae | Noavg 56.5¢ | $103.84 | $103.92 | +$0.08 | 53% 13501-11963 (25464) |
SH shiifoo<$100 | Noavg 66¢ | $21.78 | $18.65 | -$3.14 | — |
FO fooooolCTR<$100 | Yesavg 30¢ | $5 | $7.25 | +$2.25 | 51% 6338-6107 (12445) |
![]() 0xheavy888<$100 | Noavg 56¢ | $6.82 | $6.88 | +$0.06 | 55% 6231-5012 (11243) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 72¢ | $7.14 | $6.65 | -$0.5 | 50% 8565-8540 (17105) |
![]() VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 56¢ | $2.55 | $2.57 | +$0.02 | 58% 31054-22396 (53450) |
BI BillBenter2026CTR<$100 | Yesavg 16¢ | $0.8 | $1.35 | +$0.55 | 58% 16037-11692 (27729) |
Invested
$1,080.54
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$209.3
Record
68%
30394-14619 (45013)
Invested
$701.73
Value
$649.82
PnL
-$51.91
Record
52%
15978-14517 (30495)
Invested
$153.97
Value
$146.12
PnL
-$7.85
Record
53%
11949-10754 (22703)
Both legs:
HRTradingInvested
$122.48
Value
$123.8
PnL
+$1.32
Record
60%
1146-775 (1921)
Invested
$103.84
Value
$103.92
PnL
+$0.08
Record
53%
13501-11963 (25464)
Invested
$21.78
Value
$18.65
PnL
-$3.14
Record
—
Invested
$5
Value
$7.25
PnL
+$2.25
Record
51%
6338-6107 (12445)
0xheavy888<$100Invested
$6.82
Value
$6.88
PnL
+$0.06
Record
55%
6231-5012 (11243)
Invested
$7.14
Value
$6.65
PnL
-$0.5
Record
50%
8565-8540 (17105)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
$2.57
PnL
+$0.02
Record
58%
31054-22396 (53450)
Invested
$0.8
Value
$1.35
PnL
+$0.55
Record
58%
16037-11692 (27729)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
80.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.8¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
UpTheBlues
No — $1.3K
GoalLineGhost
CTRYes — $649.82
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
ARBArbitrage — excluded

HRTrading
No — $123.8
Cannae
No — $103.92
shiifoo
No — $18.65
foooool
CTRYes — $7.25

0xheavy888
No — $6.88
SnakeBall
No — $6.65

VeryLucky888
No — $2.57