
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-10-24?
5 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold No (63%) · No at 84¢ · $3K held · ended Oct 25
⚡
Medium
No
8
No 63%
2 arb excluded
$3.5K
$42.61
66.6¢ → 84¢
+26% since entry · 5 traders
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 66.2¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$78.85 | 52% 15978-14517 (30495) |
UP UpTheBluesARB<$100 | Noavg 67.3¢ | $991.24 | $1.0K | +$11.46 | 68% 30394-14619 (45013) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 67.3¢ | $724.97 | $792.03 | +$67.06 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 33.5¢ | $266.27 | $210.68 | -$55.59 | |
BV bvvallseMarketCTR | Yesavg 33¢ | $360 | $327.27 | -$32.73 | 41% 110-159 (269) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100 | Noavg 71.8¢ | $307.91 | $274.09 | -$33.82 | 53% 11949-10754 (22703) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 71.8¢ | $164 | $171.42 | +$7.41 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 35¢ | $143.91 | $102.67 | -$41.23 | |
CA Cannae | Noavg 69¢ | $264.17 | $268 | +$3.83 | 53% 13501-11963 (25464) |
SN SnakeBallCTR | Yesavg 34¢ | $120.07 | $108.7 | -$11.37 | 50% 8565-8540 (17105) |
TO torta.tech<$100 | Noavg 64¢ | $38.4 | $42 | +$3.6 | 75% 5895-1984 (7879) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 73.4¢ | $13.77 | $13.78 | +$0.01 | 60% 1146-775 (1921) |
BI BillBenter2026<$100 | Noavg 61.5¢ | $6.15 | $7.35 | +$1.2 | 58% 16037-11692 (27729) |
US User7429CTR<$100 | Yesavg 35¢ | $5.46 | $4.68 | -$0.78 | 57% 5699-4304 (10003) |
Invested
$1,367.54
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$78.85
Record
52%
15978-14517 (30495)
Invested
$991.24
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$11.46
Record
68%
30394-14619 (45013)
Both legs:
Invested
$360
Value
$327.27
PnL
-$32.73
Record
41%
110-159 (269)
Invested
$307.91
Value
$274.09
PnL
-$33.82
Record
53%
11949-10754 (22703)
Both legs:
Invested
$264.17
Value
$268
PnL
+$3.83
Record
53%
13501-11963 (25464)
Invested
$120.07
Value
$108.7
PnL
-$11.37
Record
50%
8565-8540 (17105)
Invested
$38.4
Value
$42
PnL
+$3.6
Record
75%
5895-1984 (7879)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$13.77
Value
$13.78
PnL
+$0.01
Record
60%
1146-775 (1921)
Invested
$6.15
Value
$7.35
PnL
+$1.2
Record
58%
16037-11692 (27729)
Invested
$5.46
Value
$4.68
PnL
-$0.78
Record
57%
5699-4304 (10003)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
84.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.6¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
GoalLineGhost
No — $1.4K
UpTheBlues
ARBArbitrage — excluded
bvvallseMarket
CTRYes — $327.27
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Cannae
No — $268
SnakeBall
CTRYes — $108.7
torta.tech
No — $42

HRTrading
No — $13.78
BillBenter2026
No — $7.35
User7429
CTRYes — $4.68