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Smart money holds the underdog side
Most tracked traders hold Yes, while the market favors Yes (100%). 0 of 19 traders hold an outcome priced under 50%.
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-10-24?
12 of 19 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (63%) · Yes at 100¢ · $10K held · ended Oct 25
SIGNAL
🔄
Contrarian
Yes
Consensus Traders
19
Yes 63%
Total Value
$10.5K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
12 of 19 top traders (63%)Underdog side (market favors Yes 100%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance99.9%
100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.10
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x1890f17b...687116
Slug
mex-mon1-gua-2026-10-24-gua