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FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5
1 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold Over (50%) · Over at 98¢ · $3K held · ends Oct 25
SIGNAL
💧
Weak
Over
Consensus Traders
2
Over 50%
Total Value
$2.9K
Combined PnL
-$22
Smart Money Signal
Over
1 of 2 top traders (50%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over98%
Under2%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over1 trader
Total Value$2.9K
Total Shares2,954
Combined PnL-$22.06
Under1 trader
Total Value$15.53
Total Shares863
Combined PnL+$0.06
Over — 50%Under — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0F 0F62 | Overavg 98.9¢ | $2.9K | $2.9K | -$22.06 | 53% 1781-1607 (3388) |
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100 | Underavg 1.8¢ | $15.47 | $15.53 | +$0.06 | 61% 4327-2785 (7112) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance99.2%
98.2¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.77
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.8
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xef18c3c6...ef811d
Slug
lal-bar-rea-2026-10-25-total-0pt5