Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

4 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold FC Barcelona (67%) · FC Barcelona at 88¢ · $7K held · ends Oct 25

Real Madrid CF13¢FC Barcelona87¢Ends Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

💧

Weak

FC Barcelona

Consensus Traders

FC Barcelona 67%

Total Value

$7.2K

Combined PnL

-$82.09

Smart Money Entry

87.6¢ → 87.5¢

+0% since entry · 4 traders

Smart Money Signal

FC Barcelona

4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Real Madrid CF13%

FC Barcelona88%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

FC Barcelona4 traders

Total Value$7.1K

Total Shares8,172

Combined PnL-$86.49

Real Madrid CF2 traders

Total Value$56.08

Total Shares403

Combined PnL+$4.41

FC Barcelona — 67%Real Madrid CF — 33%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

3 traders

Top 2 hold 98%

Freshness

Fresh

1h old

Late Entry

Medium

Score 55/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

60% of non-arb traders are on FC Barcelona. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 98% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleFC Barcelona 100% · 2

Aligned

sharpReal Madrid CF 100% · 1

Diverging

ctrFC Barcelona 50% · 4

Aligned

Hand-pickedFC Barcelona 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000FC Barcelona 60% · 5

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GO GoalLineGhost	FC Barcelonaavg 88¢	$5.4K	$5.3K	-$91.07	52% 15978-14517 (30495)
CA Cannae	FC Barcelonaavg 86.2¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$6.69	53% 13501-11963 (25464)
UP UpTheBlues	FC Barcelonaavg 87¢	$228.81	$227.5	-$1.31	68% 30394-14619 (45013)
LE LeLynxMalynx	FC Barcelonaavg 86.6¢	$110.88	$110.08	-$0.8	54% 13405-11284 (24689)
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100	Real Madrid CFavg 13¢	$42.64	$45.92	+$3.28	60% 4189-2743 (6932)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Real Madrid CFavg 12¢	$9.04	$10.17	+$1.13	60% 1146-775 (1921)

GoalLineGhost

FC Barcelona

Invested

$5,359.84

Value

$5.3K

PnL

-$91.07

Record

52%

15978-14517 (30495)

Cannae

FC Barcelona

Invested

$1,512.6

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$6.69

Record

53%

13501-11963 (25464)

UpTheBlues

FC Barcelona

Invested

$228.81

Value

$227.5

PnL

-$1.31

Record

68%

30394-14619 (45013)

LeLynxMalynx

FC Barcelona

Invested

$110.88

Value

$110.08

PnL

-$0.8

Record

54%

13405-11284 (24689)

Forecastication2CTR<$100

Real Madrid CF

Invested

$42.64

Value

$45.92

PnL

+$3.28

Record

60%

4189-2743 (6932)

HRTradingCTR<$100

Real Madrid CF

Invested

$9.04

Value

$10.17

PnL

+$1.13

Record

60%

1146-775 (1921)

Smart Money Signal

FC Barcelona

4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

3 traders

Top 2 hold 98%

Freshness

Fresh

1h old

Late Entry

Medium

Score 55/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

60% of non-arb traders are on FC Barcelona. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 98% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleFC Barcelona 100% · 2

Aligned

sharpReal Madrid CF 100% · 1

Diverging

ctrFC Barcelona 50% · 4

Aligned

Hand-pickedFC Barcelona 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000FC Barcelona 60% · 5

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that FC Barcelona wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance89.0%

87.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.5¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$12.35

Max Loss

-$100.00

112.3

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.