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Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?
2 of 3 top Polymarket traders hold No (67%) · No at 95¢ · $378 held · ends Oct 25
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
No
Consensus Traders
3
No 67%
Total Value
$378.38
Combined PnL
$5.45
Smart Money Entry
94.1¢ → 94.9¢
+1% since entry · 2 traders
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 3 top traders (67%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes5%
No95%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$354.41
Total Shares373
Combined PnL+$5.45
Yes1 trader
Total Value$23.97
Total Shares470
Combined PnL-$0
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 VeryLucky888 | Noavg 93.9¢ | $469.5 | $273.74 | +$5.42 | 58% 31291-22609 (53900) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Noavg 94.9¢ | $80.64 | $80.67 | +$0.02 | 54% 13611-11436 (25047) |
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.1¢ | $23.97 | $23.97 | -$0 | 61% 4327-2785 (7112) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance96.1%
94.9¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$4.06
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
104.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xbd1f146a...db0d7a
Slug
lal-bar-rea-2026-10-25-exact-score-1-2