Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-10-25?

11 of 12 top Polymarket traders hold No (92%) · No at 54¢ · $93K held · ends Oct 25

Yes47¢No53¢Ends Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

🔥

Strong

Consensus Traders

No 92%

Total Value

$93.4K

Combined PnL

-$371.76

Smart Money Entry

55.1¢ → 53.5¢

-3% since entry · 11 traders

Smart Money Signal

11 of 12 top traders (92%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes47%

No54%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes1 trader

Total Value$46.7K

Total Shares102,598

Combined PnL+$661.61

No11 traders

Total Value$46.8K

Total Shares84,654

Combined PnL$-1.0K

Yes — 8%No — 92%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
1L 1l2ihj34li12u34CTR	Yesavg 44.9¢	$46.0K	$46.7K	+$661.61	48% 114-122 (236)
UP UpTheBlues	Noavg 54.3¢	$19.4K	$19.1K	-$299.63	68% 30682-14740 (45422)
RN1	Noavg 55.3¢	$8.3K	$8.0K	-$275	55% 43011-35367 (78378)
GO GoalLineGhost	Noavg 55.5¢	$6.5K	$6.3K	-$86.28	52% 16093-14633 (30726)
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542	Noavg 57¢	$4.0K	$3.9K	-$140	47% 1949-2172 (4121)
0X 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3	Noavg 57¢	$3.2K	$3.1K	-$85.24	50% 1764-1773 (3537)
CA Cannae	Noavg 54.9¢	$2.3K	$2.3K	-$59.41	53% 13525-11984 (25509)
VeryLucky888	Noavg 55.5¢	$2.7K	$2.2K	-$87.76	58% 31291-22609 (53900)
SN SnakeBall	Noavg 54.5¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$2.27	50% 8681-8611 (17292)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080	Noavg 55¢	$275	$272.5	-$2.5	51% 945-911 (1856)
HRTrading<$100	Noavg 54.5¢	$42.75	$42.68	-$0.07	58% 1251-901 (2152)
tradecraft<$100	Noavg 55¢	$26.48	$26.48	+$0.24	52% 5479-5082 (10561)

1l2ihj34li12u34CTR

Yes

Invested

$46,020.69

Value

$46.7K

PnL

+$661.61

Record

48%

114-122 (236)

UpTheBlues

Invested

$19,404.59

Value

$19.1K

PnL

-$299.63

Record

68%

30682-14740 (45422)

RN1

Invested

$8,300

Value

$8.0K

PnL

-$275

Record

55%

43011-35367 (78378)

GoalLineGhost

Invested

$6,507.61

Value

$6.3K

PnL

-$86.28

Record

52%

16093-14633 (30726)

0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542

Invested

$3,990

Value

$3.9K

PnL

-$140

Record

47%

1949-2172 (4121)

0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3

Invested

$3,238.97

Value

$3.1K

PnL

-$85.24

Record

50%

1764-1773 (3537)

Cannae

Invested

$2,310.8

Value

$2.3K

PnL

-$59.41

Record

53%

13525-11984 (25509)

VeryLucky888

Invested

$2,664

Value

$2.2K

PnL

-$87.76

Record

58%

31291-22609 (53900)

SnakeBall

Invested

$1,525.34

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$2.27

Record

50%

8681-8611 (17292)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080

Invested

$275

Value

$272.5

PnL

-$2.5

Record

51%

945-911 (1856)

HRTrading<$100

Invested

$42.75

Value

$42.68

PnL

-$0.07

Record

58%

1251-901 (2152)

tradecraft<$100

Invested

$26.48

Value

$26.48

PnL

+$0.24

Record

52%

5479-5082 (10561)

Smart Money Signal

11 of 12 top traders (92%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that No wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance55.7%

53.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$79.40

Max Loss

-$100.00

179.4

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.