James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

2 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold No (50%) · No at 99¢ · $3K held · ends Dec 31

Yes1¢No99¢Ends Thu, Dec 31, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

💧

Weak

Consensus Traders

No 50%

Total Value

$2.6K

Combined PnL

$239.51

Smart Money Entry

89.8¢ → 98.6¢

+10% since entry · 2 traders

Smart Money Signal

2 of 4 top traders (50%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes1%

No99%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No2 traders

Total Value$2.6K

Total Shares2,589

Combined PnL+$238.98

Yes2 traders

Total Value$10.27

Total Shares733

Combined PnL+$0.53

No — 50%Yes — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
ImJustKen	Noavg 89.8¢	$1.8K	$2.0K	+$188.3	53% 3017-2635 (5652)
studmuffin6969	Noavg 90¢	$499.91	$550.59	+$50.69	59% 1025-715 (1740)
AJ AJSVCTR<$100	Yesavg 1.2¢	$5.88	$6.66	+$0.78	36% 12736-22337 (35073)
NadmiCTR<$100	Yesavg 1¢	$2.57	$3.6	-$0.26	48% 1995-2156 (4151)

ImJustKen

Invested

$1,820.21

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$188.3

Record

53%

3017-2635 (5652)

studmuffin6969

Invested

$499.91

Value

$550.59

PnL

+$50.69

Record

59%

1025-715 (1740)

AJSVCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$5.88

Value

$6.66

PnL

+$0.78

Record

36%

12736-22337 (35073)

NadmiCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$2.57

Value

$3.6

PnL

-$0.26

Record

48%

1995-2156 (4151)

Smart Money Signal

2 of 4 top traders (50%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that No wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.6%

98.6¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.38

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.4

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.