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House favorite on November 2 wins the election?
2 of 3 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (67%) · Yes at 93¢ · $9K held · ends Nov 4
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
Yes
Consensus Traders
3
Yes 67%
Total Value
$9.3K
Combined PnL
$7.46
Smart Money Entry
91.3¢ → 93¢
+2% since entry · 2 traders
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 3 top traders (67%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes93%
No7%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$8.7K
Total Shares9,379
Combined PnL+$161.96
No1 trader
Total Value$540.75
Total Shares7,725
Combined PnL-$154.5
Yes — 67%No — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MI milkteaboba | Yesavg 91¢ | $8.5K | $7.9K | +$170.5 | 63% 22-13 (35) |
KI KiernanMeister | Yesavg 94¢ | $846 | $794.22 | -$8.54 | 52% 974-898 (1872) |
AN anoin123CTR | Noavg 9¢ | $695.25 | $540.75 | -$154.5 | 46% 427-495 (922) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance94.2%
93.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$6.13
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
106.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xc92cacbf...1d2342
Slug
house-favorite-on-november-2-wins-the-election