Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?
4 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (100%) · Yes at 68¢ · $807 held · ends Oct 25
⚡
Medium
Yes
4
Yes 100%
$807.11
$182.03
53.1¢ → 68¢
+28% since entry · 4 traders
Smart Money Signal
4 of 4 top traders (100%)2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0 | Yesavg 48.3¢ | $421.05 | $597.69 | +$176.63 | 53% 504-456 (960) |
0X 0x9506e646497107cabf2d5b941a8e6a60d0db1c4f | Yesavg 71.5¢ | $147.95 | $140.64 | -$7.31 | 54% 467-405 (872) |
 fildoro<$100 | Yesavg 54¢ | $39.54 | $48.33 | +$11.35 | 60% 339-229 (568) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Yesavg 66¢ | $19.85 | $20.46 | +$1.35 | 56% 105-82 (187) |
Invested
$421.05
Value
$597.69
PnL
+$176.63
Record
53%
504-456 (960)
Invested
$147.95
Value
$140.64
PnL
-$7.31
Record
54%
467-405 (872)
fildoro<$100Invested
$39.54
Value
$48.33
PnL
+$11.35
Record
60%
339-229 (568)
Invested
$19.85
Value
$20.46
PnL
+$1.35
Record
56%
105-82 (187)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
68.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.