Back to Markets
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 25?
2 of 3 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (67%) · Yes at 60¢ · $611 held · ends Oct 25
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
Yes
Consensus Traders
3
Yes 67%
Total Value
$610.81
Combined PnL
$201.88
Smart Money Entry
42.9¢ → 60¢
+40% since entry · 2 traders
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 3 top traders (67%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes60%
No40%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$575.15
Total Shares959
Combined PnL+$211.63
No1 trader
Total Value$35.66
Total Shares89
Combined PnL-$9.75
Yes — 67%No — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0 | Yesavg 42.8¢ | $360.82 | $572.45 | +$211.63 | 53% 504-456 (960) |
HE HellYeahTraderCTR<$100 | Noavg 52.4¢ | $46.75 | $35.66 | -$9.75 | 56% 105-82 (187) |
0X 0x9506e646497107cabf2d5b941a8e6a60d0db1c4f<$100 | Yesavg 54¢ | $2.7 | $2.7 | +$0 | 54% 467-405 (872) |
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance62.2%
60.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$60.80
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
160.8
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x986a2945...4a9fca
Slug
highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-october-25-2026-13c