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Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
3 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold No (60%) · No at 73¢ · $1K held · ends Oct 28
SIGNAL
💧
Weak
No
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$1.3K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes27%
No73%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance74.8%
73.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.8¢ fee (Tech 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$33.74
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
133.7
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x464509f7...11ce68
Slug
googl-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-27-2026-3pt10