Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET
5 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Up (100%) · Up at 100¢ · $527 held · ends Oct 25
⚡
Medium
Up
5
Up 100%
$527.06
$48.13
77.5¢ → 99.6¢
+29% since entry · 5 traders
Smart Money Signal
5 of 5 top traders (100%)3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 73.8¢ | $251.63 | $328.09 | +$76.46 | 85% 39308-6712 (46020) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 89.6¢ | $116.4 | $113.78 | -$2.62 | 82% 25309-5629 (30938) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 94.2¢ | $52.94 | $43.05 | -$9.89 | 58% 6065-4453 (10518) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $20.21 | $21.5 | +$1.29 | 70% 19515-8251 (27766) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $37.75 | $20.64 | -$17.11 | 52% 5509-5111 (10620) |
Invested
$251.63
Value
$328.09
PnL
+$76.46
Record
85%
39308-6712 (46020)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$116.4
Value
$113.78
PnL
-$2.62
Record
82%
25309-5629 (30938)
Invested
$52.94
Value
$43.05
PnL
-$9.89
Record
58%
6065-4453 (10518)
Invested
$20.21
Value
$21.5
PnL
+$1.29
Record
70%
19515-8251 (27766)
Invested
$37.75
Value
$20.64
PnL
-$17.11
Record
52%
5509-5111 (10620)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
99.6¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.