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Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Oct 25
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
Down
Consensus Traders
1
Down 100%
Total Value
$191.94
Combined PnL
$28.63
Smart Money Signal
Down
1 of 1 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up1%
Down99%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$191.94
Total Shares194
Combined PnL+$28.63
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 83.8¢ | $163.31 | $191.94 | +$28.63 | 52% 5509-5111 (10620) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance99.9%
99.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.09
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x77246c21...cfdea3
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1792899600