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DownUpDownDownUpDown Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Down β but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$35.03
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares142
Combined PnL-$35.03
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Down β 67%Up β 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 57% 34891-26324 (61215) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 81Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 57% 33219-24849 (58068) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Downavg 2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 56% 32342-25340 (57682) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Downavg 49.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 54% 9349-7972 (17321) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 11Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 52% 15129-13957 (29086) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 24.7Β’ | $35.03 | β | -$35.03 | 52% 5413-5054 (10467) |
MO
mo-moneyCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
34891-26324 (61215)
BO
bosona<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
33219-24849 (58068)
AL
almachCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
32342-25340 (57682)
TH
thesidehustleCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
9349-7972 (17321)
DE
devonpoll<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15129-13957 (29086)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$35.03
Value
β
PnL
-$35.03
Record
52%
5413-5054 (10467)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9ab914f2...08facd
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1791577800