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Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold Down (100%) · Down at 100¢ · $61 held · ended Oct 25
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
Down
Consensus Traders
2
Down 100%
Total Value
$61.05
Combined PnL
$2.83
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 2 top traders (100%)2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$61.05
Total Shares61
Combined PnL+$2.83
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 71.3¢ | $38.71 | $40.59 | +$1.88 | 52% 5509-5111 (10620) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 66.5¢ | $19.5 | $20.45 | +$0.95 | 56% 14756-11783 (26539) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance99.9%
99.9¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.09
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x8fc10885...245f8b
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1792899000