Smart money holds the underdog side
Most tracked traders hold No, while the market favors Yes (100%). 0 of 7 traders hold an outcome priced under 50%.
Historically, consensus on sides priced under 40¢ lost money after costs.
Will Once Caldas vs. Deportivo Pereira end in a draw?
4 of 7 top Polymarket traders hold No (57%) · No at 0.1¢ · $659 held · ended Oct 25
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Contrarian
No
7
No 57%
$659.4
$0
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)Underdog side (market favors Yes 100%)
Outcome Probabilities
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
0.1¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.