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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was San Jose State — but Nevada won instead.
Spread: Nevada (-7.5)
Resolved Nevada. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held San Jose State. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
San Jose State 50%
Total Value
$846.5
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
San Jose State
3 of 6 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Nevada100%
San Jose State0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc2eea70d...5e9382
Slug
cfb-sjst-nevada-2026-10-24-spread-home-7pt5