Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was San Diego State β but Colorado State won instead.

Spread: San Diego State (-1.5)
Resolved Colorado State. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held San Diego State. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
San Diego State 50%
$13
$-20.4K
Smart Money Signal
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MO mooseborzoiiCTR | San Diego Stateavg 48.8Β’ | $20.5K | β | $-20.5K | 51% 956-918 (1874) |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks<$100 | Colorado Stateavg 52Β’ | $1.62 | $13 | +$11.37 | 75% 2543-833 (3376) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100 | San Diego Stateavg 48.3Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 55% 11225-9171 (20396) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | San Diego Stateavg 49Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 68% 30341-14586 (44927) |
![]() TimeTraveler<$100 | Colorado Stateavg 36Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 41% 1882-2657 (4539) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Colorado Stateavg 51Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 36% 12682-22243 (34925) |
![]() VeryLucky888<$100 | Colorado Stateavg 50.9Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 58% 30927-22305 (53232) |
Invested
$20,461.32
Value
β
PnL
$-20.5K
Record
51%
956-918 (1874)
Invested
$1.62
Value
$13
PnL
+$11.37
Record
75%
2543-833 (3376)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
11225-9171 (20396)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
68%
30341-14586 (44927)
TimeTraveler<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
41%
1882-2657 (4539)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
12682-22243 (34925)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
30927-22305 (53232)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
mooseborzoii
CTRSan Diego State β $0
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
Colorado State β $13
HomeRunHazard
CTRSan Diego State β $0
UpTheBlues
CTRSan Diego State β $0

TimeTraveler
Colorado State β $0
AJSV
Colorado State β $0

VeryLucky888
Colorado State β $0