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tradecraftCTR<$100NoYesNo
HRTradingCTR<$100No
VeryLucky888CTR<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Maringa FC PR win on 2026-10-24?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$58.17
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares91
Combined PnL-$58.17
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
tradecraftCTR<$100 | Noavg 11¢ | $2.09 | — | -$4.17 | 52% 5447-5039 (10486) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Yesavg 24¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 15933-14459 (30392) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | $54 | — | -$54 | 54% 13352-11254 (24606) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Noavg 18¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 985-601 (1586) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 30927-22305 (53232) |
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$2.09
Value
—
PnL
-$4.17
Record
52%
5447-5039 (10486)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15933-14459 (30392)
LE
LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100Invested
$54
Value
—
PnL
-$54
Record
54%
13352-11254 (24606)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
985-601 (1586)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
30927-22305 (53232)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5933d24e...c9f460
Slug
bra3-ara-mp-2026-10-24-mp