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RN1CTR<$100YesNoYes
HRTrading<$100No
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Ferroviaria Araraquara SP win on 2026-10-24?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$91.57
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares214
Combined PnL-$91.57
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 60%No — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 1¢ | $0.06 | — | -$0.06 | 55% 42593-34948 (77541) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 91.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 15933-14459 (30392) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 44¢ | $91.51 | — | -$91.51 | 54% 13352-11254 (24606) |
HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 56.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 985-601 (1586) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 43¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 30927-22305 (53232) |
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$0.06
Value
—
PnL
-$0.06
Record
55%
42593-34948 (77541)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15933-14459 (30392)
LE
LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100Invested
$91.51
Value
—
PnL
-$91.51
Record
54%
13352-11254 (24606)
HRTrading<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
985-601 (1586)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
30927-22305 (53232)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x34fad43d...b466f2
Slug
bra3-ara-mp-2026-10-24-ara