Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-10-26?

2 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold No (25%) · No at 56¢ · $9K held · ends Oct 26

Yes45¢No55¢Ends Mon, Oct 26, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

💧

Weak

Consensus Traders

No 25%

Total Value

$8.8K

Combined PnL

$55.13

Smart Money Entry

54.9¢ → 55.5¢

+1% since entry · 2 traders

Smart Money Signal

2 of 8 top traders (25%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes45%

No56%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No2 traders

Total Value$7.0K

Total Shares12,636

Combined PnL+$80.46

Yes6 traders

Total Value$1.8K

Total Shares4,039

Combined PnL-$25.34

No — 25%Yes — 75%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Late Entry

Low

Score 10/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

29% of non-arb traders are on No. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleYes 100% · 1

Diverging

sharpYes 100% · 1

Diverging

ctrYes 80% · 5

Diverging

Hand-pickedYes 100% · 2

Diverging

Top 1000Yes 67% · 6

Diverging

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
MD mde4life1986	Noavg 54.9¢	$6.7K	$6.8K	+$72.03	50% 102-103 (205)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR	Yesavg 45¢	$507.52	$501.88	-$5.64	59% 13706-9524 (23230)
VeryLucky888CTR	Yesavg 45.4¢	$493.64	$484.08	-$9.56	58% 31291-22609 (53900)
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR	Yesavg 45¢	$450	$445	-$5	47% 1949-2172 (4121)
bernardi22	Noavg 53.6¢	$237.04	$245.48	+$8.43	56% 1116-882 (1998)
CA CannaeCTR	Yesavg 45¢	$232.42	$229.64	-$2.78	53% 13525-11984 (25509)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Yesavg 45.2¢	$74.27	$96.32	-$1.9	58% 1251-901 (2152)
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100	Yesavg 45¢	$40.95	$40.5	-$0.45	54% 13611-11436 (25047)

mde4life1986

Invested

$6,695.41

Value

$6.8K

PnL

+$72.03

Record

50%

102-103 (205)

omnibus-076daaCTR

Yes

Invested

$507.52

Value

$501.88

PnL

-$5.64

Record

59%

13706-9524 (23230)

VeryLucky888CTR

Yes

Invested

$493.64

Value

$484.08

PnL

-$9.56

Record

58%

31291-22609 (53900)

0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR

Yes

Invested

$450

Value

$445

PnL

-$5

Record

47%

1949-2172 (4121)

bernardi22

Invested

$237.04

Value

$245.48

PnL

+$8.43

Record

56%

1116-882 (1998)

CannaeCTR

Yes

Invested

$232.42

Value

$229.64

PnL

-$2.78

Record

53%

13525-11984 (25509)

HRTradingCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$74.27

Value

$96.32

PnL

-$1.9

Record

58%

1251-901 (2152)

LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$40.95

Value

$40.5

PnL

-$0.45

Record

54%

13611-11436 (25047)

Smart Money Signal

2 of 8 top traders (25%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Late Entry

Low

Score 10/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

29% of non-arb traders are on No. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleYes 100% · 1

Diverging

sharpYes 100% · 1

Diverging

ctrYes 80% · 5

Diverging

Hand-pickedYes 100% · 2

Diverging

Top 1000Yes 67% · 6

Diverging

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that No wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance57.7%

55.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$73.22

Max Loss

-$100.00

173.2

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.