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tradecraftCTR<$100YesNoYesYesYes
HRTradingCTR<$100Yes
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-10-24?
Resolved No. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$7.06
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares24
Combined PnL-$7.06
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 86%No — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
tradecraftCTR<$100 | Yesavg 19¢ | $4.63 | — | -$7.06 | 52% 5447-5039 (10486) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 65.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 68% 30341-14586 (44927) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 38¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 13488-9388 (22876) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 15933-14459 (30392) |
VA Vampiro1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 29.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 75% 2292-754 (3046) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Yesavg 36¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 985-601 (1586) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 40.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 30927-22305 (53232) |
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$4.63
Value
—
PnL
-$7.06
Record
52%
5447-5039 (10486)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
68%
30341-14586 (44927)
OM
omnibus-076daaCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
13488-9388 (22876)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15933-14459 (30392)
VA
Vampiro1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
75%
2292-754 (3046)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
985-601 (1586)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
30927-22305 (53232)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x044baff3...50db37
Slug
bol1-ant-pot-2026-10-24-pot