
Shanxi Loongs vs. Jiangsu Dragons
2 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold Shanxi Loongs (50%) · Shanxi Loongs at 88¢ · $423 held · ends Nov 1
💧
Weak
Shanxi Loongs
4
Shanxi Loongs 50%
$423.11
$0.12
88.7¢ → 88¢
-1% since entry · 2 traders
Smart Money Signal
2 of 4 top traders (50%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JA Jameslyy | Shanxi Loongsavg 89¢ | $333.75 | $330 | -$3.75 | 66% 657-334 (991) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Jiangsu Dragonsavg 11.7¢ | $46.25 | $47.63 | +$1.39 | 58% 31291-22609 (53900) |
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542<$100 | Shanxi Loongsavg 85¢ | $25.61 | $26.52 | +$0.9 | 47% 1949-2172 (4121) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Jiangsu Dragonsavg 11¢ | $17.38 | $18.96 | +$1.58 | 42% 4866-6823 (11689) |
Invested
$333.75
Value
$330
PnL
-$3.75
Record
66%
657-334 (991)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$46.25
Value
$47.63
PnL
+$1.39
Record
58%
31291-22609 (53900)
Invested
$25.61
Value
$26.52
PnL
+$0.9
Record
47%
1949-2172 (4121)
Invested
$17.38
Value
$18.96
PnL
+$1.58
Record
42%
4866-6823 (11689)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
88.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.5¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.