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Shanxi Loongs vs. Jiangsu Dragons

2 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold Shanxi Loongs (50%) · Shanxi Loongs at 88¢ · $423 held · ends Nov 1

Shanxi Loongs88¢Jiangsu Dragons12¢Ends Sun, Nov 1, 2026View on Polymarket
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Weak

Shanxi Loongs

Consensus Traders

4

Shanxi Loongs 50%

Total Value

$423.11

Combined PnL

$0.12

Smart Money Entry

88.7¢ → 88¢

-1% since entry · 2 traders

Smart Money Signal

Shanxi Loongs

2 of 4 top traders (50%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Shanxi Loongs88%
Jiangsu Dragons12%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Shanxi Loongs2 traders
Total Value$356.52
Total Shares405
Combined PnL-$2.85
Jiangsu Dragons2 traders
Total Value$66.59
Total Shares555
Combined PnL+$2.97
Shanxi Loongs — 50%Jiangsu Dragons — 50%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance89.5%

88.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.5¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$11.74
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
111.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x66a2ad98...4f7ec6
Slug
bkcba-sha-jia-2026-10-25
Trade on Polymarket