Beijing Ducks vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions
4 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Beijing Ducks (67%) · Beijing Ducks at 94¢ · $662 held · ends Nov 1
⚡
Medium
Beijing Ducks
6
Beijing Ducks 67%
$662.18
$15.91
93¢ → 94¢
+1% since entry · 4 traders
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JA Jameslyy | Beijing Ducksavg 96¢ | $480 | $475 | -$5 | 66% 657-334 (991) |
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542<$100 | Beijing Ducksavg 87¢ | $89.14 | $97.34 | +$7.68 | 47% 1949-2172 (4121) |
LU lukibazdonauki754<$100 | Beijing Ducksavg 79¢ | $53.12 | $63.88 | +$10.42 | 57% 344-256 (600) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Beijing Ducksavg 95¢ | $16.15 | $16.15 | +$0 | 54% 13611-11436 (25047) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Guangzhou Loong Lionsavg 4.3¢ | $13 | $5 | +$2 | 58% 31291-22609 (53900) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Guangzhou Loong Lionsavg 5¢ | $4.01 | $4.82 | +$0.8 | 50% 8681-8611 (17292) |
Invested
$480
Value
$475
PnL
-$5
Record
66%
657-334 (991)
Invested
$89.14
Value
$97.34
PnL
+$7.68
Record
47%
1949-2172 (4121)
Invested
$53.12
Value
$63.88
PnL
+$10.42
Record
57%
344-256 (600)
Invested
$16.15
Value
$16.15
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
13611-11436 (25047)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$13
Value
$5
PnL
+$2
Record
58%
31291-22609 (53900)
Invested
$4.01
Value
$4.82
PnL
+$0.8
Record
50%
8681-8611 (17292)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
94.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.