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Karsiyaka vs. Fenerbahce
1 of 3 top Polymarket traders hold Fenerbahce (33%) · Fenerbahce at 85¢ · $5K held · ends Nov 1
SIGNAL
💧
Weak
Fenerbahce
Consensus Traders
3
Fenerbahce 33%
Total Value
$5.3K
Combined PnL
$21.48
Smart Money Signal
Fenerbahce
1 of 3 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Karsiyaka15%
Fenerbahce85%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Fenerbahce1 trader
Total Value$5.1K
Total Shares5,996
Combined PnL+$14.47
Karsiyaka2 traders
Total Value$200.23
Total Shares1,335
Combined PnL+$7.01
Fenerbahce — 33%Karsiyaka — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ST stepanka1234 | Fenerbahceavg 84.8¢ | $5.1K | $5.1K | +$14.47 | 78% 25-7 (32) |
LU LuckyLooCTR | Karsiyakaavg 15.3¢ | $145.66 | $142.78 | -$2.88 | 42% 4866-6823 (11689) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Karsiyakaavg 15.8¢ | $143.01 | $57.45 | +$9.89 | 58% 31291-22609 (53900) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance86.6%
85.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.6¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$15.47
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
115.5
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x7c2e0349...b76a6d
Slug
bkbsl-kar-fen-2026-10-25