Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 25?

4 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold No (100%) · No at 100¢ · $4K held · ends Oct 25

Yes<1¢No>99¢Ends Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚡

Medium

Consensus Traders

No 100%

Total Value

$4.4K

Combined PnL

$184.25

Smart Money Entry

95.6¢ → 99.9¢

+4% since entry · 4 traders

Smart Money Signal

4 of 4 top traders (100%)1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No4 traders

Total Value$4.4K

Total Shares4,381

Combined PnL+$184.25

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452	Noavg 95.7¢	$4.1K	$4.1K	+$168.14	68% 776-372 (1148)
TO Tokor	Noavg 90¢	$161.5	$161.26	+$15.91	62% 381-233 (614)
0X 0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394	Noavg 99.9¢	$113.32	$113.26	-$0.06	55% 534-431 (965)
SH Sharky6999<$100	Noavg 99.1¢	$29.73	$29.97	+$0.26	98% 5384-128 (5512)

0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452

Invested

$4,076.32

Value

$4.1K

PnL

+$168.14

Record

68%

776-372 (1148)

Tokor

Invested

$161.5

Value

$161.26

PnL

+$15.91

Record

62%

381-233 (614)

0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394

Invested

$113.32

Value

$113.26

PnL

-$0.06

Record

55%

534-431 (965)

Sharky6999<$100

Invested

$29.73

Value

$29.97

PnL

+$0.26

Record

98%

5384-128 (5512)

Smart Money Signal

4 of 4 top traders (100%)1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that No wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

99.8¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.09

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.