Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-10-24?

4 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (50%) · Yes at 94¢ · $7K held · ended Oct 25

Yes94¢No6¢Ended Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

💧

Weak

Yes

Consensus Traders

Yes 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$7.1K

Combined PnL

-$28.78

Smart Money Entry

72.5¢ → 93.5¢

+29% since entry · 4 traders

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes94%

No7%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes4 traders

Total Value$4.0K

Total Shares5,813

Combined PnL-$185.89

No4 traders

Total Value$874.07

Total Shares1,747

Combined PnL+$157.11

Yes — 50%No — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846	Yesavg 72¢	$3.7K	$3.7K	-$1.95	63% 22274-13133 (35407)
UP UpTheBluesARB<$100	Noavg 37.5¢	$3.1K	$2.2K	-$876.93	68% 30394-14619 (45013)
└ Yes leg	Yesavg 76¢	$1.4K	$1.5K	+$168.47
└ No leg	Noavg 37.5¢	$1.7K	$659.28	$-1.0K
us391CTR	Noavg 42.2¢	$505.22	$598.55	+$93.33	51% 1340-1262 (2602)
SN SnakeBall	Yesavg 76¢	$535.8	$352.5	-$183.3	50% 8565-8540 (17105)
GO GoalLineGhostCTR	Noavg 38.3¢	$202.11	$263.67	+$61.55	52% 15978-14517 (30495)
CA Cannae<$100	Yesavg 62¢	$15.21	$13.91	-$1.31	53% 13501-11963 (25464)
BI BillBenter2026CTR<$100	Noavg 35.7¢	$5.35	$7.5	+$2.15	58% 16037-11692 (27729)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	Noavg 53¢	$4.27	$4.35	+$0.08	59% 13531-9406 (22937)
HRTrading<$100	Yesavg 70.6¢	$2.26	$2.93	+$0.67	60% 1146-775 (1921)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Yes

Invested

$3,663.11

Value

$3.7K

PnL

-$1.95

Record

63%

22274-13133 (35407)

UpTheBluesARB<$100

Invested

$3,059.99

Value

$2.2K

PnL

-$876.93

Record

68%

30394-14619 (45013)

Both legs:

Yes$1,355.376¢+$168.47

No$1,704.6837.5¢$-1.0K

us391CTR

Invested

$505.22

Value

$598.55

PnL

+$93.33

Record

51%

1340-1262 (2602)

SnakeBall

Yes

Invested

$535.8

Value

$352.5

PnL

-$183.3

Record

50%

8565-8540 (17105)

GoalLineGhostCTR

Invested

$202.11

Value

$263.67

PnL

+$61.55

Record

52%

15978-14517 (30495)

Cannae<$100

Yes

Invested

$15.21

Value

$13.91

PnL

-$1.31

Record

53%

13501-11963 (25464)

BillBenter2026CTR<$100

Invested

$5.35

Value

$7.5

PnL

+$2.15

Record

58%

16037-11692 (27729)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

Invested

$4.27

Value

$4.35

PnL

+$0.08

Record

59%

13531-9406 (22937)

HRTrading<$100

Yes

Invested

$2.26

Value

$2.93

PnL

+$0.67

Record

60%

1146-775 (1921)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Yes wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance94.8%

93.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$5.53

Max Loss

-$100.00

105.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.