Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-10-24?
4 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold No (67%) · No at 99¢ · $896 held · ended Oct 25
⚡
Medium
No
6
No 67%
$895.53
$15.99
83.7¢ → 98.6¢
+18% since entry · 4 traders
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBlues | Noavg 85.1¢ | $410.41 | $442.58 | +$32.17 | 68% 30394-14619 (45013) |
SN SnakeBall | Noavg 82.5¢ | $390.63 | $381.19 | -$9.44 | 50% 8565-8540 (17105) |
CA Cannae<$100 | Noavg 83¢ | $56.66 | $54.95 | -$1.71 | 53% 13501-11963 (25464) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 19.8¢ | $47.03 | $12.53 | -$5.13 | 58% 31054-22396 (53450) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 78¢ | $3.9 | $4.03 | +$0.13 | 52% 15978-14517 (30495) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21¢ | $0.28 | $0.26 | -$0.02 | 54% 13405-11284 (24689) |
Invested
$410.41
Value
$442.58
PnL
+$32.17
Record
68%
30394-14619 (45013)
Invested
$390.63
Value
$381.19
PnL
-$9.44
Record
50%
8565-8540 (17105)
Invested
$56.66
Value
$54.95
PnL
-$1.71
Record
53%
13501-11963 (25464)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$47.03
Value
$12.53
PnL
-$5.13
Record
58%
31054-22396 (53450)
Invested
$3.9
Value
$4.03
PnL
+$0.13
Record
52%
15978-14517 (30495)
Invested
$0.28
Value
$0.26
PnL
-$0.02
Record
54%
13405-11284 (24689)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
98.6¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.