Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5
4 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold Under (100%) · Under at 62¢ · $3K held · ended Oct 25
⚡
Medium
Under
4
Under 100%
$3.1K
$244.23
63¢ → 62¢
-2% since entry · 4 traders
Smart Money Signal
4 of 4 top traders (100%)2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Underavg 63.1¢ | $2.6K | $2.8K | +$247.97 | 52% 16093-14633 (30726) |
 VeryLucky888 | Underavg 63¢ | $218.7 | $212.46 | -$3.24 | 58% 31291-22609 (53900) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Underavg 63¢ | $37.17 | $36.58 | -$0.59 | 54% 13611-11436 (25047) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 60¢ | $2.4 | $2.48 | +$0.08 | 58% 1251-901 (2152) |
Invested
$2,575.09
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$247.97
Record
52%
16093-14633 (30726)
VeryLucky888Invested
$218.7
Value
$212.46
PnL
-$3.24
Record
58%
31291-22609 (53900)
Invested
$37.17
Value
$36.58
PnL
-$0.59
Record
54%
13611-11436 (25047)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
$2.48
PnL
+$0.08
Record
58%
1251-901 (2152)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
62.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.