Seoul: Woobin Shin vs Thomas Fancutt

3 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Woobin Shin (60%) · Woobin Shin at 62¢ · $6K held · ends Nov 1

Woobin Shin62¢Thomas Fancutt38¢Ends Sun, Nov 1, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

💧

Weak

Woobin Shin

Consensus Traders

Woobin Shin 60%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.9K

Combined PnL

-$498.35

Smart Money Entry

58¢ → 62¢

+7% since entry · 3 traders

Smart Money Signal

Woobin Shin

3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Woobin Shin62%

Thomas Fancutt38%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Woobin Shin3 traders

Total Value$3.3K

Total Shares6,605

Combined PnL-$509.56

Thomas Fancutt2 traders

Total Value$155.33

Total Shares251

Combined PnL+$11.22

Woobin Shin — 60%Thomas Fancutt — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UP UpTheBlues	Woobin Shinavg 58.9¢	$3.6K	$3.1K	-$448.06	68% 30394-14619 (45013)
HO HomeRunHazardARB<$100	Thomas Fancuttavg 34.5¢	$1.1K	$1.3K	+$193.96	55% 11295-9229 (20524)
└ Thomas Fancutt leg	Thomas Fancuttavg 34.5¢	$829.47	$1.0K	+$191.41
└ Woobin Shin leg	Woobin Shinavg 57¢	$269.62	$272.17	+$2.55
EF efntrickARB<$100	Thomas Fancuttavg 40¢	$1.2K	$1.1K	-$107.35	48% 3428-3701 (7129)
└ Thomas Fancutt leg	Thomas Fancuttavg 40¢	$625.51	$679.64	+$54.13
└ Woobin Shin leg	Woobin Shinavg 79.8¢	$553.2	$391.72	-$161.48
OM omnibus-076daa	Woobin Shinavg 38.2¢	$161.05	$160.26	-$0.79	59% 13531-9406 (22937)
DA darkumbreon88CTR	Thomas Fancuttavg 59¢	$141.92	$149.13	+$7.22	65% 1512-803 (2315)
BI BillBenter2026	Woobin Shinavg 77.1¢	$119.67	$58.96	-$60.71	58% 16037-11692 (27729)
RN1ARB<$100	Thomas Fancuttavg 33.1¢	$48.87	$56.23	+$7.36	55% 42737-35083 (77820)
└ Thomas Fancutt leg	Thomas Fancuttavg 33.1¢	$27.21	$34.94	+$7.73
└ Woobin Shin leg	Woobin Shinavg 73¢	$27.04	$21.3	-$0.37
HRTradingCTR<$100	Thomas Fancuttavg 22¢	$2.2	$6.2	+$4	60% 1146-775 (1921)

UpTheBlues

Woobin Shin

Invested

$3,552.5

Value

$3.1K

PnL

-$448.06

Record

68%

30394-14619 (45013)

HomeRunHazardARB<$100

Thomas Fancutt

Invested

$1,099.09

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$193.96

Record

55%

11295-9229 (20524)

Both legs:

Thomas Fancutt$829.4734.5¢+$191.41

Woobin Shin$269.6257¢+$2.55

efntrickARB<$100

Thomas Fancutt

Invested

$1,178.7

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$107.35

Record

48%

3428-3701 (7129)

Both legs:

Thomas Fancutt$625.5140¢+$54.13

Woobin Shin$553.279.8¢-$161.48

omnibus-076daa

Woobin Shin

Invested

$161.05

Value

$160.26

PnL

-$0.79

Record

59%

13531-9406 (22937)

darkumbreon88CTR

Thomas Fancutt

Invested

$141.92

Value

$149.13

PnL

+$7.22

Record

65%

1512-803 (2315)

BillBenter2026

Woobin Shin

Invested

$119.67

Value

$58.96

PnL

-$60.71

Record

58%

16037-11692 (27729)

RN1ARB<$100

Thomas Fancutt

Invested

$48.87

Value

$56.23

PnL

+$7.36

Record

55%

42737-35083 (77820)

Both legs:

Thomas Fancutt$27.2133.1¢+$7.73

Woobin Shin$27.0473¢-$0.37

HRTradingCTR<$100

Thomas Fancutt

Invested

$2.2

Value

$6.2

PnL

+$4

Record

60%

1146-775 (1921)

Smart Money Signal

Woobin Shin

3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Woobin Shin wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance64.2%

62.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$55.85

Max Loss

-$100.00

155.8

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.