Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Kokoro Isomura — but Shintaro Imai won instead.

Seoul: Shintaro Imai vs Kokoro Isomura

Resolved Shintaro Imai. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Kokoro Isomura. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Kokoro Isomura 67%

Total Value

$217.8

Combined PnL

$-2.9K

Kokoro Isomura

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Shintaro Imai100%

Kokoro Isomura0%

Kokoro Isomura5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,826

Combined PnL$-3.0K

Shintaro Imai5 traders

Total Value$217.8

Total Shares218

Combined PnL+$53.76

Kokoro Isomura — 50%Shintaro Imai — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
EF efntrickCTR	Kokoro Isomuraavg 49.6¢	$5.8K	—	$-2.8K	48% 3434-3705 (7139)
BI BillBenter2026	Shintaro Imaiavg 69.1¢	$174	$174	+$53.72	58% 16066-11724 (27790)
RN1CTR<$100	Kokoro Isomuraavg 15.5¢	$81.66	—	-$81.66	55% 43011-35367 (78378)
LO looppau<$100	Shintaro Imaiavg 99.9¢	$43.76	$43.8	+$0.04	99% 6672-34 (6706)
0xheavy888CTR<$100	Kokoro Isomuraavg 51¢	$18.4	—	-$18.4	55% 6288-5054 (11342)
PA pauleta23CTR	Kokoro Isomuraavg 5¢	$113	—	-$5.65	71% 17250-6966 (24216)
HO HomeRunHazard<$100	Shintaro Imaiavg 67.2¢	—	—	+$0	55% 11679-9574 (21253)
UP UpTheBlues<$100	Shintaro Imaiavg 63.9¢	—	—	+$0	68% 30682-14740 (45422)
TH thestingsnake<$100	Shintaro Imaiavg 99¢	—	—	+$0	60% 3511-2386 (5897)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Kokoro Isomuraavg 8¢	—	—	+$0	58% 1251-901 (2152)