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Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Yannick Hanfmann
1 of 3 top Polymarket traders hold Yannick Hanfmann (33%) · Yannick Hanfmann at 60¢ · $3K held · ends Nov 1
SIGNAL
💧
Weak
Yannick Hanfmann
Consensus Traders
3
Yannick Hanfmann 33%
Total Value
$2.8K
Combined PnL
$11.13
Smart Money Signal
Yannick Hanfmann
1 of 3 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Rinky Hijikata40%
Yannick Hanfmann60%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yannick Hanfmann1 trader
Total Value$2.0K
Total Shares3,370
Combined PnL+$22.06
Rinky Hijikata2 traders
Total Value$778.46
Total Shares1,946
Combined PnL-$10.93
Yannick Hanfmann — 33%Rinky Hijikata — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
K5 k56 | Yannick Hanfmannavg 59.3¢ | $2.0K | $2.0K | +$22.06 | 58% 875-646 (1521) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Rinky Hijikataavg 40.6¢ | $771.76 | $761.26 | -$10.5 | 58% 31291-22609 (53900) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Rinky Hijikataavg 41¢ | $17.63 | $17.2 | -$0.43 | 54% 13611-11436 (25047) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance62.2%
60.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$60.80
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
160.8
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x7f9395c9...a2ba52
Slug
atp-hijikat-hanfman-2026-10-25